So, the GOP is scrambling, much like they did four years ago, for a candidate that is going to take the White House. There’s one huge difference. This year’s field is pretty much a quality field. Last time around, we had a bunch of wannabees in the GOP camp that couldn’t and didn’t ever have a chance of winning. I think this year is different.
Leading the way so far are five contenders. Rand Paul, the libertarian firebrand from Kentucky, who probably will die out once people realize he has no foreign policy ideas; Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas Governor and Fox News talk show host, who’s always in the running early, but doesn’t have the legs to finish; New Jersey Governor, Chris Christie, who seems to have emerged from his George Washington Bridge scandal unscathed is doing well; Ted Cruz, the upstart first-term senator from Texas who certainly will make debates interesting; and…are you ready? former Florida Governor, Jeb Bush, brother to W. and son to H.W.
Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush are the three that have the best chance (at this point in time) to beat Princess Hillary if it were to come to that, but if you follow this blog, you know my feelings on that. Hillary Clinton doesn’t have staying power, is one of the most divisive people in politics, and doesn’t know how to close a campaign out.
Among the “also-rans” in the poll, which was conducted about two weeks ago by WPA Opinion Research, were Florida senator Marco Rubio and 2012 VP nominee Paul Ryan of Wisconsin with 6% of the vote; current Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker with 5%; Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal and former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum with 3%. Paul and Huckabee had 13% of the vote, Bush had 11%, Christie and Cruz tallied 9%.
So what does this mean? Nothing. Way too early to tell. Besides, we’re two years out from the primaries. All it takes (as Christie learned) is for a staffer to screw up and you’re screwed. I expect this to play leap-frog for a couple of years before we get a candidate… and I don’t expect Rand Paul or Mike Huckabee to be at the top. Paul has done a lot to improve his image, but as I said, there’s no foreign policy there…and you need one in the 21st century. Huckabee has been around too long without producing. It’s almost as if he’s become the 21st century’s Alf Landon. Time to hang it up Mike!
I think that Christie is a little too moderate to win. Haven’t we seen what happens when moderate Republicans run for president? Just look at John McCain and Mitt Romney. Look back at Bob Dole! The last moderate GOP president we had (OK…you’re going to throw George HW Bush at me…I know), was Richard Nixon. That turned out well. No, we need a conservative. That eliminates Christie. So, now we’re face with Cruz or Bush among the front runners. Cruz will die out like the firecracker he is. Bush, I don’t see just because it’ll give the Clinton’s too much of the “Royal Family” thing to throw at him. So, we’re dipping down to the Rubio, Ryan portion. And either of them would be good choices. Both are conservative, yet sensible. Jindal isn’t well enough known, and while I like Scott Walker, I don’t know if he’s even interested. Santorum? Nope. He’s a loser, and demonstrated he couldn’t close it out four years ago. Count him out.
Should be a fun ride.
Carry one world…you’re dismissed!