I’ll give Barack Obama this much. He sure is making history. And on this Halloween Day, he’s about to set yet another mark in history.
Obama is the first African-American president (I don’t say “black” because he truly IS from Africa). He is the first president to be re-elected in the middle of a recession (I’m sorry Bobo…it WAS a recession even though you declared it over!). And he’s the first president since Harry Truman to suffer two incredibly bad losses in off-year elections. According to Roll Call (not your typical conservative rag!) Truman lost 83 house seats in the two mid-term elections. Following him was Dwight D. Eisenhower, who dropped 66 seats. Obama lost 63 seats in the 2010 mid-terms, prompting his, “I get it” speech that conservatives just laughed at (he didn’t get it at all!). He’s poised to lose anywhere between 5 and 12 more seats. That means his two mid-term losses will be in the 68-77 seat range.
And the Senate isn’t going to fare any better for Bobo. Everybody is now comparing Obama to George W. Bush and his low approval numbers in his second term (Bobo’s are worse). Well, let’s compare Senate seat losses, shall we? Bush lost a total of 5 mid-term seats in the US Senate. Ronald Reagan lost 7. Bill Clinton lost 8. Eisenhower lost 13. Democrats are pretty close to breaking that record. They lost 6 seats in the Senate in 2010, and could lose anywhere between 6 and 10 seats Tuesday…though we may have to wait until January to finalize the count because of run-offs in Louisiana (in December), and Georgia (in January). That would give Obama a 12 seat net loss over two mid-terms at best, and a 16 seat loss at the worst. Of course, the worst, was Harry Truman again (he really wasn’t well liked during his terms), who lost a total of 17 seats. That record probably will remain intact.
So why the losses? This one looks as if it can be pinned directly on Obama. He’s told the world, much to the chagrin of his colleagues in the Congress that he is not on the ballot, but his policies are. He’s screwed up pretty much everything he touched this year. It’s certainly been one of the worst presidential years on record, if not the worst. Obama hasn’t had an easy time of it. I can’t recall one thing he’s done in 2014 that was basically hailed as a crowning achievement. While 2013 will go down in his legacy as the “year of the scandal”, 2014 may very well go down as the “year of the indecision”. It’s appearing that this one time Greek god is afraid to pull the trigger on anything anymore. He can’t make up his mind on what tie to wear.
Democrats are loathe to be seen with him. Even the Governors of blue states are getting antsy when Bobo shows up. He’s almost guaranteed to lose half the assembled crowd during his speech. And the problem is that Bobo hasn’t ever had a very successful record campaigning for people. I remember back a while ago in 2012 during the primaries, Obama was backing one candidate, and Bill Clinton was backing another. Obama’s guy got waxed. It’s been that way more often than not. Let’s face it…America just doesn’t think much of this president. And they’re taking it out on him Tuesday at the polls. Of course, I’m looking into my K-Mart crystal ball when I say that, and I could be wrong. I may be wrong. Nah, I doubt I’m wrong.
With all the media hype and build up to a “Republican Wave” this term…pollsters all over the country are going to find themselves looking for a new line of work if they miss this one. First, it would take a massive ground game to reverse what is happening in the electorate. Second, it would take some massive sampling errors on the part of the pollsters. And third, there isn’t any excitement among the Dems this cycle. It’s all on the GOP side. I’m finding that very interesting. I’m also thinking that it is going to be very interesting to watch come Tuesday night!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!