For a very long time now, I’ve postulated that Barack Obama is playing a game with who will take over for him. Oh, he’s discounting the GOP entirely…and he really doesn’t have anything to do or say about that party. But with the Democrats, he is damned determined to decide the election, all by himself.
As I’ve thought this, and even mentioned it from time to time, the National Review has a great article by Kevin Williamson that basically goes along with that story line. It isn’t Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders, or even Joe Biden that will determine the next president…it’s Barack Obama.
See, if Obama doesn’t get “his guy (or girl)” in the White House in 2017, his whole legacy goes poof! That’s because most of what he’s accomplished has been through executive orders or partisan politics. Don’t believe me? What do you think happens to Obamacare if the GOP wins the White House and keeps hold of congress? Do you think Gitmo will close? What about the deal with the Iranians? Any chance that stays in place? Think of any Barack Obama accomplishment over the last seven years, and with one exception, it goes away quickly. That one exception is the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP). That’s the only thing the GOP would keep. The rest is toast.
So it’s with that in mind that Obama has to realize he has to choose who his successor will be. And while he was all about Hillary Clinton early on, you can tell, he’s slowly changing his tune. Where he all but had the crown polished up and ready to be placed on her head, now, not so much. In fact, now, as I’m hearing from friends in the DC area, Bobo is quietly trying to get Joe Biden to take on Hillary, if for no other reason than to make sure that she doesn’t win the nomination. She’s got way too much baggage to survive a general election, and he knows that.
Add to that the fact that Bill Clinton and Barack Obama absolutely hate each other. I think it was the Clinton comment in 2007 that “a few years ago, that guy (Obama) would have been carrying our bags” that did it. Bobo doesn’t think Bill takes him seriously. Bill doesn’t take him seriously and there is the rub. So the last thing Bobo wants to do is turn the keys to the White House over to a Clinton. He’d much rather have Joe Biden, who yes, at times can seem to be the stumbling drunk uncle who groups the nieces, and makes the stupid comments, but at least isn’t going to hurt the Obama Legacy.
Joe Biden will get into the race. Mark my words. It will happen. And he will hurt Hillary Clinton in the process. Yes, you don’t just parachute into a presidential race and win it, but Joe hasn’t been sitting idle on the sidelines. He’s been plotting and planning. There’s a reason hundreds of Obama bundlers from 2008 and 2012 are not taking part in Hillary’s campaign. And with her infrastructure on the ground, she’s going to need every last penny just to pay the people to keep the doors open. Forget about multi-million dollar ad campaigns to fend off all of the email scandal noise.
And forget about Bernie Sanders. My hunch is the left-wing of the party will wake up between now and next July, much like the right-wing of the Republican party will wake up and not back Donald Trump. Ben Carson, possibly, but not Donald Trump. That leaves a Hillary/Joe battle that should be fun to watch. Loser vs. Loser. Kinda like a consolation match for 3rd place of the NCAA championships. It is a match nobody cares about, and everybody forgets was even played.
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!