Let’s begin by saying what happened in Vegas won’t stay in Vegas. Actually, what happened in Nevada (which is much larger than Vegas) won’t stay in Nevada. Donald Trump tore apart the competition last night in the Nevada Caucus. Ted Cruz beat out Marco Rubio by six votes for second place. So, Trump came away from the evening with an additional 12 delegates, Rubio and Cruz each got five as they continue to split the remainder of delegates between them.
This is the third win in a row for Trump, and he’s poised to do pretty much the same thing next Tuesday in the March 1st Super Tuesday primary states. I think there’s only one state that he’s losing in, and that’s Texas, which is Cruz’ home state. After that, I don’t think you’re going to see either Rubio or Cruz drop out. Carson probably will, but that’s it. It all boils down to a two person race right now if there is to be an establishment candidate that makes it to the nomination. I’m about 99% convinced that’s not going to happen this year. The momentum is with Trump, the crowds are with Trump, and I am thinking this is Trump’s to lose. Unless he gets caught using a private email server in a bathroom closet someplace to do his business, Donald Trump is going to be the Republican nominee for president.
Now, the question going forward, just for the non-Trump fans out there is, was there anything that either Cruz or Rubio could have done to avoided getting shellacked in Nevada? The answer is no. Trump is a well-known name in Vegas and has his own hotel out there. I’ve stayed there. It’s nice. No casino, but it’s a nice hotel. Neither Rubio nor Cruz has one. That does make a difference in Clark County, trust me. The only thing those two could have done to insure a different outcome, or at least a closer outcome was to have one of them drop out. And they both would have been pointing the finger at the other as the person that SHOULD drop out. Rubio is in this at least until Florida. Cruz won’t drop out before next Tuesday and Texas. And though Trump still does have the momentum and the polls on his side, he is still miles away from the total number of delegates needed to win the nomination.
I can’t at this point really see anything stopping Trump. He needs to have the field winnowed down quite a bit, and that’s not going to happen. Oh, Carson may drop out. I mean, he’s won 0 delegates so far, and he’s slowly bleeding donors and crowds, but he says he’s in it for a long while. I’m surprised he’s still around. Kasich is in it because he basically wants to get to Ohio and Michigan. He’s not running to be president. He’s running to be Vice President. That’s the only logical reason for picking and choosing your states like he’s doing. Donald Trump is the GOP nominee. The anti-establishment has won!
Carry on world…you’re dismissed!