How Does Trump Win?

No, this isn’t an electoral math blog. This is a campaign enhancement blog because it appears that neither Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton have it in them to figure out how to win this election. And since we have both conservatives and liberals, as well as more than a few moderates that read this on a regular basis, we’re going to try and show what sanity says is the way for both to win. We’ll start with Trump.

Donald Trump has one major problem in his push to the White House and it’s…Donald Trump. He needs to get out of the way of himself in order to win. That’s not an easy task when you’ve spent the last 35 years telling the world how great you are and how you’ve employed tens of thousands of people, and created all of those jobs, and you have the greatest company in the world. But that is exactly what he needs to do. Let’s get into the weeds.

When Trump stays on the tele-prompter, when he actually reads prepared speeches, and when he decides that he’s going to stop ad-libbing, he goes up in the polls. When he shoots off his mouth, ad-libs, and goes off message, he dies. He was brilliant, presidential, and on message for the first 30 minutes of his debate this week. Then he bit into a big ol’ Hillary bait and went off the rails. He never should have done that. Stick to the message. Keep it about her and her failures in her career. They are numerous, and easy to list. Stick to the email scandal and how she is above the law. Stick to the lies and the scandals. Stick to the fact that nobody, not even anybody in her own party can trust her. Then you can slowly add in the fact that all she does is hammer away at him for not being prepared, while all she is trying to be is a third-term Obama. Other than being the first female president, she can’t tell you why she wants to be president. She’s not trying to “Make America Great Again”, because she feels we’re all just doing fine. She has, to quote Barack Obama about Mitt Romney, lost touch with America. He needs to hammer the Clinton Foundation, and Pay-To-Play. Hey, if Harry Reid can stand on the floor of the US Senate and spew lies about Trump all day, Trump can surely throw out allegations about the Clintons!

What I wouldn’t do? I wouldn’t bring up Bill Clinton or his past. The only time that even begins to fit the narrative is when Hillary starts talking about taking the word of the rape victim over the word of the rapist. Then you hit her with the fact that she went after the rape victim in each of her husbands’ dalliances.

THAT, Mr. Trump is how you reach the White House. The rest of the story doesn’t matter. America, believe it or not, does not care how many jobs you’ve created, or how rich you are. Oh…and release your tax returns. You should have done that back in February anyway. If there’s something in there that’s going to bite you in the ass, you should get it out early while you’ve got time for the teeth marks to heal. Didn’t you learn anything from the Clinton presidency?

As an aside, we are home from the hospital, Mrs. Desert Man is resting and doing comfortably. She even wanted to go down to the pool today. She got released with no restrictions and will be heading back to work on Monday! God IS great!!! Thanks for all of your prayers and concerns. We were both truly touched by it!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

A Day Off From Work

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but this is an extremely truncated blog today. My wife developed a Deep Vein Thrombosis over this past weekend, and got a blood clot in her lung as a result…so I am writing this from a hospital room, where I’ve been since Tuesday. Oh, I’ll be back, and she’s on the mend (hopefully we go home today!). But until then, I’m going to take a day off work. More when I get back to the Desert Man Cave, I promise!

What Do The Millennials Think?

In 2008, Barack Obama captured the young voters of America, winning 66% of their vote against an aged and decrepit John McCain. Then, four years later, against a much younger and youthful looking Mitt Romney, Obama managed to pull in 60% of the youth vote (identified as 18-26 years old). This year, neither candidate has done well in the primaries winning the youth vote. Bernie Sanders took it hands down over Hillary in the Democrats’ primary, and it was split between Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz in the GOP.

But in the general election, the battle is on for these Millennials. And so far, it would appear that Trump is beating Clinton. Hillary spoke at Penn State University this past week, and while she got a decent crowd of a few hundred (versus the crowd of 130 that saw her at Temple University in Philadelphia), she didn’t “wow” any of them. Even ardent Democrats are not excited about coming out for Hillary this year.

So, what’s the reason behind the lack of enthusiasm. It’s exactly what you might think it is…trust. Most think she’s slimy; most think she’s a liar and you can’t trust what she says; and most think she’s talking too much about Donald Trump and not about the ideas that they want to hear. And most Millennials want to do one of three things: give Donald Trump a serious look, give a serious look at Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, or stay home and not vote. The third option is what most of them are leaning toward.

So it doesn’t look like the young vote is going to be much of a factor this year. Now, that all can change. Everybody is talking about how important the debate is going to be tomorrow night, and it should be interesting. But I don’t think this younger group of people are going to sit still and listen to two 70-somethings (alright…Hillary’s going to be 69) argue with each other. They don’t like government and politics to begin with, and this isn’t going to necessarily light a fire under them. But if there were a major faux pas somewhere by one of the two (and it certainly could happen with these two!), then all bets would be off.

The problem is, Millennials are not wanting to hear what Hillary is most likely to do…which is to demonize Trump to elevate herself. They want to hear the issues. They want to hear the candidates’ solutions to the country’s problems, and they want to know why Hillary wants to extend the Obama term by continuing his policies when they don’t feel those policies have been working for them. They also want Trump to come up with some specifics. He’s very good at saying stuff like, “We’re going to build a wall and we’re going to make Mexico pay for it.” But he has never said HOW he’s going to make Mexico pay for it. I don’t think sending the repo man to Mexico City is quite what these young kids had in mind.

It will be an interesting debate tomorrow, and an interesting election. But without Millennials behind her, Hillary is going to have to do something in order to make it happen!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

And The Winner Was…

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton squared off in the first of three scheduled debates. Did we really learn anything we didn’t know before hand? And did the candidates do what they “had to do” in order to solidify their chances? Let’s find out, shall we?

DONALD TRUMP: Trump had to show up, not make a fool of himself, and act “presidential”. Did he do that? No. I mean, yes…he showed up. But he was the Donald Trump that took on Jeb Bush in the primaries. He was loud and boisterous. He was interrupting. And as far as acting “presidential”, I’d say he failed there. Trump was served up many softballs he could have hit out of the park, and he whiffed on several occasions. Oh, he called Clinton out on her terrible performance as Secretary of State, but he never drove it home. He missed completely making her a part of the Obama administration, even though he tied her to Syria and the Iran deal. He could have (and should have done so much more). Instead, he sounded like the second grader that took 20 minutes of math time to explain to the teacher why he was late to school that day. If you haven’t been following the current events over the past three months, you probably heard a guy speaking in headlines. He COULD have hit a home run and put Clinton away last night. But, as most of the pundits I heard said, he survived. He hit a few singles, and that was good enough. I gave him a C.

HILLARY CLINTON: Clinton came into this needing to do two things. Start to earn back the trust that 72% of the American public says she doesn’t have, and to open up and be “human” and not robotic and a policy wonk. She failed on both accounts. Did she look presidential? Yes. Did she score points against Trump? Yes. She had a chance to put the whole email scandal thing behind her. Instead of coming clean with the 18 months of lies, she basically said, “I made a mistake. I regret it and I accept the responsibility of it. Would I do it differently? Of course.” Well, Hillary, that’s not what the American people are looking for. They want to hear you admit that you sent and received classified documents and that you know you broke the law in doing so. They want to hear you say you put the national security at risk by using a home-brew server. You didn’t do that. So you aren’t going to gain the trust you needed. As far as getting to know the “real Hillary” (these are things her campaign said she needed to do…not me), she again failed. I’ve seen Disney animatronics at Epcot Center that had more life in them than she had last night. She was a policy wonk who loved to delve into the weeds and details of policy, but she didn’t convince anyone that wasn’t already voting for her to do so. She got a B from me.

LESTER HOLT: This guy was supposed to be moderator-supreme. And while he did let the two candidates debate each other and go back and forth quite a bit, there were many times that it seemed he let the debate get away from him. Oh, it was entertaining. I don’t know as if we learned much, but it was entertaining. But there really weren’t any hard questions for Hillary either. He asked one question, with no follow up on email. Where were the questions on Benghazi? Where were the questions on Pay to Play? Where were the questions on Syria or Egypt? Where were the questions from Lester on Iran? And how come we didn’t hear anything on the Clinton Foundation? We heard about Donald’s taxes…where was the Clinton Foundation stuff? Sorry Lester. I had heard earlier in the day you were going to favor Clinton in this one, and you did. You were the big loser of the night. I give you a D.

Overall, if you went in a Clinton supporter, this morning you’re still a Clinton supporter. If you went in a Trump supporter, you’re still a Trump supporter. And if you were one of the six people that were undecided…you’re still probably undecided. If that weren’t enough…I didn’t pop enough popcorn!

Oh…just in case you were wondering…Time had Trump winning the debate in their poll 54-46%. Over at CNBC, they had Trump winning the debate 66-34%, while at Drudge, he had Trump winning the debate 82-17%. And what about film maker, Michael Moore? He came out on Twitter after the debate and said Trump won hands down. Somehow, I didn’t see it that way. Maybe I need to spend another 90 minutes looking at the DVR!

Michael Moore ✔ @MMFlint
Pro-Hillary gloaters doing end-zone dance again when still on 50-yd line. U MUST get it in your head TRUMP IS GONNA WIN and act accordingly!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Is This Debate REALLY Necessary?

OK, so I’ve laid in for a rather large bucket of unpopped popcorn. I bought a train car load of butter. I’ve got enough salt to restock the underground cave where Johnny Carson’s old “Tonight Show” tapes are stored. I have not one, but two bottles of Cabernet chilling in the wine fridge, and I’m ready for the debate tonight. Oh, yeah…I told my wife NOT to say anything while the candidates are talking (I hate that). There is only one question in my mind…

Does any of this really matter?

The answer to that is probably not. Oh, I know the pundits are saying how important this is. These are the same guys and gals that said Donald Trump was a joke of a candidate and wouldn’t be a threat to Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. Here’s the thing clear and simple. You and I are going to watch to see if Trump tears into Hillary, and if Hillary tears into Trump. You and I are going to watch to see if a) Hillary has another coughing fit (which would doom her candidacy), and b) does she fall off of the step stool she’s asked for so she’s the same height as Trump (she won’t).

Other than that, this is going to be a very mundane debate. Hillary will go off on policy rants and Trump won’t give you specifics on any of his plans. Hillary will accuse Trump of being unfit for service because of Trump University and the donation to the Florida Attorney General. Trump will accuse Hillary of being unfit for…well, he could fill the whole debate with that one, couldn’t he? In the end, neither will probably make a huge mistake that would cost them the election. In fact, these debates rarely do cost people elections. I can think of a total of three debates in the entire 59 years I’ve been alive that have.

The first was John F. Kennedy beating Richard Nixon in 1960 because Nixon sweated like a pig and Kennedy looked tanned and rested. The second was how Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter with “Well, there you go again!”, and Jimmy Carter relying on his daughter Amy to give him foreign policy advice. The third was 2000 when Al Gore smirked and huffed his way through their first debate. He never recovered from that.

That’s it. Other than an occasional gaffe on both sides, debates are pretty meaningless. And in this cycle, they really don’t mean anything. I mean, is there really more than six people in the country who haven’t really decided who they are for IF they’ve decided that they are indeed going to vote? I know a LOT of people from both sides who are going to sit this one out. It seems, more are from Hillary’s camp than Trump’s camp, but nobody is really uncommitted at this point. OK…may some unemployed factory worker in Moose Jaw, South Dakota. Other than that, everybody pretty well has their minds made up. The only thing that may slightly change anything in this debate is a slight momentum shift. Trump has it going his way right now, and IF (and that’s a huge if) Hillary can throw him off balance enough, she can stem that tide a little bit. If not, the momentum still continues Trump’s way.

Where did I put that big bowl for the popcorn???

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

An Interesting Take On Hillary’s Health

I finally have been able to find a credible source that understands head injuries and can talk in layman’s terms about why Hillary Clinton may be having some weird health problems. It all stems from her 2012 fall, when she suffered a concussion and apparently had a stroke (at least that’s what this doctor believes). You don’t have to take my word for it either. You can go to The Hill, and read all about it. And yes, for the liberals out there, The Hill is FAR from being a right-wing rag…after all, it employs AB Stoddard among others, and is left of center!

The doctor in question is Dr. John Coppedge, MD, FACS, who is a general surgeon from Texas. He said that Hillary’s problem is telling because of the fact that her eyes aren’t in sync. That, he believes, stems from damage to her sixth cranial nerve which was caused by the transverse sinus thrombosis that she suffered after her fall. OK, so what’s so telling about all of this, and why should we care?

Well, the fact of the matter is, that folks that suffer from transverse sinus thrombosis apparently have a blood clot at the base of their brain that limits blood flow. What this means is that they typically have balance issues, sight problems (double vision in a lot of cases), and increased pressure that causes extremely painful headaches. It also can cause intermittent loss of consciousness which could explain her stumble at the 9/11 ceremony in New York when she fell getting into the van. The medical term for all of this intermittent lateral rectus palsy.

So, we can now understand (without trying to be flip or sarcastic) why medically, Hillary is off the campaign trail so much. Yes, she’s on Coumadin, but that does nothing for the actually blood clot that is in the brain. That only prevents further clots from forming because it’s a blood thinner.

The question now becomes, that IF this doctor is right (and he admits that he hasn’t examined Clinton, but thinks that some independent neurologist probably should), does that mean she cannot perform her duties as president? We’ve seen some very incapacitated presidents in the past, some, like Ronald Reagan who was known to have the early stages of Alzheimer’s in his second term, were wildly successful. That question, I will leave to you, the voter. But now at least, you’ve received what I think would be termed a medical explanation from a qualified physician and surgeon. The rest is up to Hillary to once again, come clean and let America know what the real problem is…but apparently it’s a lot deeper than a mild case of pneumonia!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Hillary Wants To Know Why…

So Hillary Clinton was in Orlando, Florida the other day. She was addressing the Laborers’ International Union of America in Las Vegas via a web connection, and she ticked off the list of things that she has done in her career, which included raising the minimum wage, being pro-union, and pro-collective bargaining. She followed that up with a question: “Why aren’t I beating Donald Trump by 50 points?” Fair enough, Hillary. Let me help you on that one.

1. You are a convicted pathological liar. America doesn’t trust you, because they can’t believe what you say. This isn’t something you can change by November 8th either. It’s something you’ve culled since your time in Arkansas. It’s really a devastating character trait and is probably the number one reason why you’re not beating Trump by 50 points.
2. You are a terrible candidate. I know you won the Democrats’ primary…but you basically had to put Little Debbie Wasserman-Schultz in your back pocket to do it. When you really look at things, you were beaten badly by an old man from Vermont who nobody has ever taken seriously until this year. Oh, you won the primaries and caucuses, but it was all you could do to eke out a win. You’re really a terrible candidate on the stump. You make an awful lot of mistakes, and then you lie your way out of them. Not a smart move.
3. You spend way too much time trying to demonize Trump, and no time on what you really want to do for America. Oh, you’ve had a speech here or there on policy, but it really isn’t much. Your staff has told you the way to make yourself seem more presidential is to make Trump seem less presidential. That leads to a “lesser of two evils” scenario, and that’s never a good thing, nor is it usually the right thing to do.
4. You don’t know how to excite your base. This is also a huge problem for you. Because you need the black vote, and you need the Hispanic vote, and you need the Democrats to come out for you. Independents and Republicans look very much like they are breaking for Trump this election, and your base isn’t excited about you or your prospects. Oh, they think you are going to win, but they aren’t excited about the prospect, and they don’t want to participate. Millennials aren’t coming around to you, and neither really is the GOP (at least, they aren’t deserting Donald Trump like you hoped they would).
5. You have no coat-tails. A good presidential candidate has coat-tails and can bring down-ticket folks a win as well. You don’t seem to have that. The Democrats have already conceded that they won’t win the House of Representatives back this year, though back in January they were very hopeful of that happening. They’re still HOPING that they can at least get a tie in the Senate, but that’s looking worse and worse for them as well. Three of the four seats Democrats have targeted are already being written off as re-elections for the Republicans. That means you won’t be winning Congress back even if you do win. That’s another reason you’re not leading by 50 points.
6. You haven’t learned the lesson that this isn’t a conventional year. Normally, he (or she) that raises the most money wins. But this isn’t normally. This is Donald Trump spending fifty times less than you spend in Florida and staying even with you because he gets free press any time he wants. You pay for every second of it. Not a smart thing to do!

There you go, Hillary. Six simple reasons why you’re not up by 50 points. And while it’s a good question (and even better answers), I think you should go back to debate prep. Something tells me you’re going to need it!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!