How To Deal With North Korea

Dealing with North Korea has become a problem again. It’s actually a problem that’s been with us for the past 65 years or so, ever since the Kim family decided to team up with China, separate itself from the South, and run their people into a poverty that we cannot imagine in this country. But there is a solution. Oh, it’s not without consequences, but there is a solution.

China is the solution.

And all the while, we’ve spent billions throwing at the problem every time one of the Kims actually screamed they were going to go to war with us (usually when things in the country got bad), the then-president (of both parties…it doesn’t matter who, they were all guilty), would open up a dialogue with the North Koreans, and end up giving them food and money in exchange of just going away.

It didn’t work. But it did teach the current leader, Kim Jong Un, how to bargain with us. Be loud and obnoxious and eventually we will show up with boatloads of cash that you can buy food with. It hasn’t happened that way. So, he gets louder, and louder, and the threats get bigger and bigger, to the point China even starts to look the other way.

Well, here’s how to solve it. You tell China that they have 30 days to cease all trade with North Korea. If they decide that they aren’t going to do that, or we pick up any indication that they are doing it, we will immediately cease our trade with China, as will South Korea, and Japan.

It just so happens, the US, South Korea, and Japan are the three largest importing countries of Chinese goods. And it just so happens North Korea is the largest exporter to China. There is a lot of weight in those statistics. So, if China wants to continue to receive a positive trade balance, they need to cut off North Korea. It’s that simple.

Now,you know as well as I do, it’s not that simple. Of course there will be rumblings. There will be saber-rattling, hell there may even be a war of some kind. The Chinese don’t take kindly to anyone telling them what to do, and they won’t this time. But if you turn those ships coming into Long Beach, California around and send them back to China fully loaded, they’ll eventually get the message.

You don’t need to fight North Korea. You need to pressure China to fight North Korea and tell that smudge of humanity that he’s being an ass and needs to back down. China can do that where the rest of the world can’t. It’s just motivating China to take that step. And they may be Communist, but money still speaks. If they see that 80% of their goods are no longer going anywhere, but are sitting on docks around the eastern border of their country, they’ll quickly get the message that America, Japan, and South Korea don’t need their stuff.

That phrase from Jerry Maguire still rings true…the answer to most problems in life is, “Show me the money!”

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

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What Kim’s Retreat Means

It really didn’t take long for the little panda of North Korea to realize that he was backed into a corner. He knew that he had to do something to stem the rhetoric that was being spewed both toward the US in an effort to get more financial concessions, and from the US in the form of Donald Trump’s insistence that if Kim kept threatening, his words would be what killed his country. In the end, Kim decided enough was enough and backed down.

So what does that mean? Well, as I’ve said here before, Donald Trump’s unpredictability played into the conclusion of this mess. Never before has a US president been so bellicose and never before has a US president not shown up at Pyongyang’s door with a fist full of Yaqui Dollars in order to persuade the North Korean leaders to back down with their threats. This time, it didn’t work.

So, where does Kim go from here? Well, to start with, he will probably try to get China back trading with him. After all, 79% of China’s imports come from North Korea. That’s HUGE! And about 95% of North Korea’s exports go to China. Without the Chinese helping their neighbors, the hermit kingdom fades into existence and their population starves to death. After all, a nation who’s prime occupation is military doesn’t last too long when there is no war to fight.

Second, Kim needs to face his people and save that fat face of his. In phrasing his retreat on bombing Guam, he basically came away as the facilitator and the more “adult” of the two leaders by saying, “Okay, we are going to back down now, but IF you continue your wicked ways…”, which basically was his way of saying that he knows that North Korea becomes a parking lot for all the Hyundai’s and Kia’s that South Korea is making if he continues his belligerent ways.

Notice, I’m not giving either side really any credit for this resolution…if that’s what you want to call it. I don’t think Kim ever thought it would lead to war, because it never has, and once you begin telling your people that you aren’t going to take it anymore, you have to either back up those words with action, or you face getting overthrown. And for Trump, he really didn’t win. Yes, he stood his ground, but he really didn’t look like a strong leader in doing it. He would have been much stronger had he let Rex Tillerson do his bidding for him, choosing to stay in the background as opposed to taking on a small country like North Korea and getting into such back and forth. It wasn’t presidential, and it didn’t make him look strong. It made him look like the fat 6th grader picking on the 2nd grader after school. Of course, you can beat him. Does that really prove anything?

So, for at least the moment, North Korea has backed down. They’ll be back screaming about something. And the only other thing to consider here is, Kim was told by his military that they really aren’t ready to be launching weapons at anybody just yet. He needed to buy time, so he backed off. As I think about it, that’s probably more the case, don’t you think?

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Trump Doing It Totally Backwards

Nobody likes to have their nose tweaked. That goes double for our current president. He HATES it when someone gets the upper hand on him, or he’s perceived to be weak. And so, when North Korea makes outlandish statements that they will reign all sorts of terror down on the United States because they’ve got a couple of nukes, it hurts The Donald’s feelings.

And he totally screwed up by responding the way he did.

Sorry guys, but I calls ‘em the way I sees ‘em, and this time, Trump screwed the pooch. You don’t tip your hand when it comes to anything military. Didn’t Trump himself chastise Obama for doing that in the Middle East? Wasn’t it Trump that lambasted Bobo for telling his withdrawal date from Afghanistan, and Iraq? So, why in the world would Donald Trump decide to play tit-for-tat with this smudge of humanity that “rules” North Korea?

What happens when, let’s say, I don’t know…Russia or China decides to explode a nuke in the middle of that big square in Pyongyang where they have all of those parades, and giant panda is always shown applauding. Who do you think the world is going to turn to and blame? It would be us. Whereas, if Trump didn’t respond to the idiot, and let him bloviate, and responded with an assassin squad or some other means, like finally getting China to stop trading with them (which they’ve pretty much agreed to do in the latest round of UN sanctions), then maybe you’ve shown you’re the bigger person.

I think it’s time Donald Trump realizes this isn’t Manhattan real estate developers he’s dealing with here. These are world leaders, and they play for keeps. He’s in the big leagues now…much bigger than what he’s ever dealt with before. And he needs to understand that just because he has a Twitter account, and just because the media hangs on every word he utters, it doesn’t mean that every word he utters is the correct thing to utter! I learned a long time ago that not responding to something is often more powerful than responding to it. And I really do believe in this instance, when you’ve got someone that we know has nuclear capability, whether or not we believe that they can reach us and hurt us, you have to be careful. You’re dealing with a madman over there, and you push the wrong button and he’s going to do something very stupid like wiping Guam off the map (which would cause retaliation a thousand times worse…and probably start World War III).

I’ve been a fan of a lot of things Donald Trump has done, and a lot of things he’s done I’ve thought were just downright stupid. This is one of the more stupid things he’s done. He has to get his stuff together in a very quick order, or he’s not going to have either Republicans or Democrats following behind him. And that’s only after seven months in office! Geesh!

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Dealing With North Korea

There has been a lot of talk recently with North Korea launching missiles left and right about how to deal with the Hermit Nation. Well, in the desert, where the air is clear, the rain rarely comes (though don’t judge that statement based on the last week or so), and your mind snaps into crystal clear focus, it’s a really easy fix.

You let the Chinese do it.

First of all, Trump has to realize that HE is not ever going to be able to fix North Korea. They built their nation on the misguided fact that we don’t want anything to do with them, and we are their mortal enemies. Probably had something to do with the Korean War I’m guessing. Anyway, that has been instilled in the minds of the North Koreans for the last sixty years, so dealing with them is not an option. You have to figure out another way. You have to go through the Chinese, as they are basically the only other group outside of maybe the Russians that want anything to do with the fat little pock-mark that is their “leader”.

The way to get to the Chinese is very simple. The top three trading partners with the Chinese are The United States, Japan, and South Korea. We buy more from the Chinese as a group than the rest of the top ten trading partners combined. And the US basically buys as much from China as Japan and South Korea combined. In other words…we have some pull in that category. And who does China import the most from? North Korea…by far.

So the simple solution to this is you tell Beijing that they have 60 days to reign in their fat little cousin to the south (and east) and if they decide they’re not going to do it, we are going to team up with Japan, and South Korea, and put a 200% tariff on Chinese made products. Yes, that hurts the US economy in the short run, but it hurts a lot less than dealing with the sting of a nuclear tipped ICBM. They have to have the North Koreans dismantle their nuclear weapons, and shelve their entire program, or else they will lose over half of their exports. They certainly will understand that. And that will do something else. It will drastically reduce the amount of money China has to buy goods from North Korea. And that hurts the Hermits even more.

It’s such a simple plan, why hasn’t the White House thought of it before? Simple…they have. They just don’t want to get into a trade war with our largest importer. Yes…it hurts the economy. It also gets rid of the problem. Do you really think China is going to give up 58% of their exports (which is what US, Japan, and South Korea amount to in trade with China) in order to keep North Korea alive? They’ll dump that fat bastard quicker than his last haircut.

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

Well, What Would You Expect?

I have this pet peeve. I see it happen all of the time. The United States is at odds with some country in the world…let’s say it’s some place like Iran. And then a few days later, we hear on the news how the Iranian government has arrested an American citizen for espionage or some other “crime against the state”. And I shake my head and wonder just how stupid that person had to be. Why in God’s name would you even consider being in a country like that if you even THOUGHT there was a possibility of them going rogue and arresting you for spying on them?

 

That happened again in North Korea. In fact, it’s happened three times in North Korea recently. And apparently from what I’m seeing all three people were working at the Pyongyang University of Science and Technology (PUST). Now, it looks by their names that all three were Korean of some sort, but were US citizens. And my question would be rather simple…what in hell were you doing in North Korea?

 

I can expect it from a journalist who is there covering some parade (as happened a couple weeks ago), and they get detained because you know…journalists are great targets for this sort of thing. But if you were actually working at a university in a country like the DPRK, did it not ever enter your mind that you could, just maybe, be picked up and arrested if relations between our two countries went south? Really?

 

So now the question is, what do we do in this case? Do we throw caution to the wind and go in and try to rescue them? Do we try to negotiate with terrorists and get them out that way? I mean that was tried with Beau Bergdahl and look what it got us…we got a deserter back who’s now facing court martial, and the other side got five Taliban leaders back that were freed from Guantanamo. Yeah…that worked out really well, didn’t it?

 

Actually, what we should do is nothing. If these guys were working in North Korea doing anything for a country that we have claimed is one of the “Big Three” enemies of this United States, they are on their own. Oh, I’m sure they’re going to claim humanitarian reasons why they are there, but if they are aiding and abetting the enemy in any way shape or form, they are asking for whatever punishment North Korea decides to dish out.

 

Let it be a lesson to the rest of us. There are certain places in this world that quite frankly you are a damned fool if you try to visit. Iran is one of them. So is Afghanistan. I’d throw Venezuela into that mix right now. In fact, I wouldn’t be too keen to cross the border to the south of me right at this point in time. But if you want to risk it all for whatever reason you’ve got stuck in your brain, well…you’re on your own!

 

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!

What North Korea REALLY Wants

So North Korea is bloviating about how if the US goes through with “reckless military exercises”, that will provoke a preemptive nuclear strike against the US. Gee…how often has North Korea threatened to attack the west? It’s been pretty much anytime their people are starving and they need to sit down at a negotiating table with someone other than the Chinese and ask for more money and food and supplies.

 

That my friends, is why Kim Jong Un is crying about starting a nuclear war. And THAT is the only reason… he has to protect his family legacy, which is keeping power in North Korea. Do you REALLY think that he will go through with his threat?

 

The answer to that could very well be “yes”, because it’s been reported on several occasions that Kim is actually mentally unstable and could do something equally as unstable. We’ve seen instances of that before as he’s offed family members to maintain power, so there really is no telling what he would do. But overall, you have to admit, it seems like it’s not anything greater than him screaming to get the US to get back to negotiating and giving them more aid (which is weird since we have no relations with them!).

 

The problem that Kim doesn’t realize is he is dealing with a master negotiator in Donald Trump. Trump won’t fall for any of the antics. And Trump won’t be played for a chump like Obama was. Obama was too scared of his own shadow to even consider military action against the Hermit Regime. Trump obviously is not. So, Kim needs to take that into consideration.

 

Now, do I think that the US is going to get into a nuclear war with North Korea? Nope. Not even if they send nukes our way. I think we’re much more guarded than that. If North Korea were to unleash (and that isn’t the right word…) a barrage of nuclear weapons our way, they would most certainly get invaded, and pay a very heavy price, but I doubt the US would make it nuclear. If we do that, we’re inviting Russia, China, everyone else in the world to use their nukes against whatever side they choose. If we stay conventional, North Korea becomes more of the pariah, and that is never a bad thing.

 

Somehow, and I could be very wrong on this…I think that North Korea will back down. They will tell their people that we backed down and they were the victors because they have to, but that will be the about the only thing that happens here. And I don’t think the US and North Korea will end up negotiating a new aid package. I can’t see that happening with Donald Trump.

 

Oh…and if you couldn’t have noticed the tongued firmly planted in the cheek during the last blog on North Korea…please re-evaluate your reading style. I heard from a few of you that couldn’t discern whether that was real or whether I was laying it on thick. I was laying it on thick.

 

Carry on world…you’re dismissed!